BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#68 in the world · win 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGalorys pick
67%60%
Galorys · 8 mapsedge Galorys +7%BORRACHEIROS · 6 maps
Dust2BORRACHEIROS pick
45%71%
Galorys · 7 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +26%BORRACHEIROS · 3 maps
NukeBORRACHEIROS ban
60%33%
Galorys · 6 mapsedge Galorys +27%BORRACHEIROS · 2 maps
MirageGalorys ban
57%50%
Galorys · 3 mapsedge Galorys +7%BORRACHEIROS · 4 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
33%25%
Galorys · 2 mapsedge Galorys +8%BORRACHEIROS · 4 maps
OverpassBORRACHEIROS ban
60%50%
Galorys · 6 mapsedge Galorys +10%BORRACHEIROS · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
57%50%
Galorys · 3 mapsedge Galorys +7%BORRACHEIROS · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Inferno
2. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Nuke
3. PickGalorys take Ancient
4. PickBORRACHEIROS take Dust2
5. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Overpass
6. BanGalorys remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:1
Galorys 23%BORRACHEIROS 77%
The model gave 77% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by Galorys.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
Galorys 60%BORRACHEIROS 40%
The model gave 60% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 67%
Series resultGalorys 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2