Esports World Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegion#19 in the world · win 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
JiJieHao#47 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGamerLegion pick
50%62%
GamerLegion · 8 mapsedge JiJieHao +12%JiJieHao · 9 maps
InfernoJiJieHao pick
60%62%
GamerLegion · 6 mapsnearly even -2%JiJieHao · 9 maps
MirageGamerLegion ban
56%60%
GamerLegion · 5 mapsnearly even -4%JiJieHao · 6 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
40%40%
GamerLegion · 1 mapnearly even +0%JiJieHao · 6 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
45%50%
GamerLegion · 7 mapsedge JiJieHao +5%JiJieHao · 0 maps
AnubisJiJieHao ban
50%50%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsnearly even +0%JiJieHao · 4 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%50%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsnearly even +0%JiJieHao · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
2. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
3. PickGamerLegion take Ancient
4. PickJiJieHao take Inferno
5. BanJiJieHao remove Anubis
6. BanGamerLegion remove Mirage
DeciderCache (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:3
GamerLegion 47%JiJieHao 53%
The model gave 53% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Ancientprediction missed13:8
GamerLegion 41%JiJieHao 59%
The model gave 59% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 63%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2