CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Grêmio#201 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Procyon#119 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Procyon ban
43%40%
Grêmio · 10 mapsnearly even +3%Procyon · 16 maps
InfernoGrêmio pick
57%65%
Grêmio · 10 mapsedge Procyon +8%Procyon · 13 maps
AncientGrêmio ban
40%50%
Grêmio · 6 mapsedge Procyon +10%Procyon · 10 maps
Nukepossible decider
40%45%
Grêmio · 6 mapsedge Procyon +5%Procyon · 7 maps
MirageProcyon pick
36%67%
Grêmio · 7 mapsedge Procyon +31%Procyon · 5 maps
AnubisGrêmio ban
50%64%
Grêmio · 0 mapsedge Procyon +14%Procyon · 7 maps
CacheProcyon ban
40%50%
Grêmio · 6 mapsedge Procyon +10%Procyon · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGrêmio remove Anubis
2. BanProcyon remove Cache
3. PickGrêmio take Inferno
4. PickProcyon take Mirage
5. BanProcyon remove Dust2
6. BanGrêmio remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (40% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
Grêmio 39%Procyon 61%
The model gave 61% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Nukeprediction correct3:13
Grêmio 47%Procyon 53%
The model gave 53% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Model check result
Model favoriteProcyon · 51%
Series resultProcyon 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2