CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Julie&Cie pick
55%29%
Hashiras · 7 mapsedge Hashiras +26%Julie&Cie · 3 maps
NukeJulie&Cie ban
50%50%
Hashiras · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Julie&Cie · 0 maps
AncientHashiras ban
33%50%
Hashiras · 2 mapsedge Julie&Cie +17%Julie&Cie · 2 maps
AnubisHashiras pick
63%50%
Hashiras · 4 mapsedge Hashiras +13%Julie&Cie · 0 maps
InfernoHashiras ban
33%50%
Hashiras · 2 mapsedge Julie&Cie +17%Julie&Cie · 2 maps
OverpassJulie&Cie ban
29%50%
Hashiras · 3 mapsedge Julie&Cie +21%Julie&Cie · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Hashiras · 1 mapnearly even +0%Julie&Cie · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHashiras remove Ancient
2. BanJulie&Cie remove Nuke
3. PickHashiras take Anubis
4. PickJulie&Cie take Dust2
5. BanJulie&Cie remove Overpass
6. BanHashiras remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:2
Hashiras 31%Julie&Cie 69%
The model gave 69% on Julie&Cie — the map was taken by Hashiras.
Dust2prediction correct13:3
Hashiras 77%Julie&Cie 23%
The model gave 77% on Hashiras — the map was taken by Hashiras.
Model check result
Model favoriteHashiras · 60%
Series resultHashiras 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2