Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Haunted House#236 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#128 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisTHUNDER dOWNUNDER pick
67%70%
Haunted House · 2 mapsnearly even -3%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 6 maps
Dust2Haunted House pick
57%57%
Haunted House · 3 mapsnearly even +0%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 3 maps
Nukepossible decider
33%67%
Haunted House · 2 mapsedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +34%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 2 maps
InfernoHaunted House ban
60%67%
Haunted House · 1 mapedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +7%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 2 maps
AncientHaunted House ban
40%60%
Haunted House · 1 mapedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +20%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 1 map
DefaultTHUNDER dOWNUNDER ban
40%50%
Haunted House · 1 mapedge THUNDER dOWNUNDER +10%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 0 maps
OverpassTHUNDER dOWNUNDER ban
50%40%
Haunted House · 0 mapsedge Haunted House +10%THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHaunted House remove Inferno
2. BanTHUNDER dOWNUNDER remove Overpass
3. PickHaunted House take Dust2
4. PickTHUNDER dOWNUNDER take Anubis
5. BanTHUNDER dOWNUNDER remove Default
6. BanHaunted House remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (33% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct5:13
Haunted House 43%THUNDER dOWNUNDER 57%
The model gave 57% on THUNDER dOWNUNDER — the map was taken by THUNDER dOWNUNDER.
Dust2prediction correct19:17
Haunted House 53%THUNDER dOWNUNDER 47%
The model gave 53% on Haunted House — the map was taken by Haunted House.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
Haunted House 20%THUNDER dOWNUNDER 80%
The model gave 80% on THUNDER dOWNUNDER — the map was taken by THUNDER dOWNUNDER.
Model check result
Model favoriteHaunted House · 51%
Series resultTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3