CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Crashers#174 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultHereWeGoAgain ban
33%43%
HereWeGoAgain · 2 mapsedge Crashers +10%Crashers · 3 maps
Dust2Crashers pick
40%50%
HereWeGoAgain · 1 mapedge Crashers +10%Crashers · 2 maps
InfernoHereWeGoAgain pick
50%29%
HereWeGoAgain · 0 mapsedge HereWeGoAgain +21%Crashers · 3 maps
AncientHereWeGoAgain ban
50%40%
HereWeGoAgain · 0 mapsedge HereWeGoAgain +10%Crashers · 1 map
MirageCrashers ban
40%50%
HereWeGoAgain · 1 mapedge Crashers +10%Crashers · 0 maps
NukeCrashers ban
50%40%
HereWeGoAgain · 0 mapsedge HereWeGoAgain +10%Crashers · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHereWeGoAgain remove Ancient
2. BanCrashers remove Mirage
3. PickHereWeGoAgain take Inferno
4. PickCrashers take Dust2
5. BanCrashers remove Nuke
6. BanHereWeGoAgain remove Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
HereWeGoAgain 40%Crashers 60%
The model gave 60% on Crashers — the map was taken by HereWeGoAgain.
Model check result
Model favoriteCrashers · 67%
Series resultHereWeGoAgain 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1