BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Procyon#119 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageImperial pick
56%45%
Imperial · 14 mapsedge Imperial +11%Procyon · 7 maps
Dust2Procyon pick
50%43%
Imperial · 10 mapsedge Imperial +7%Procyon · 10 maps
InfernoImperial ban
63%57%
Imperial · 15 mapsedge Imperial +6%Procyon · 3 maps
Nukepossible decider
69%29%
Imperial · 9 mapsedge Imperial +40%Procyon · 3 maps
AnubisProcyon ban
50%33%
Imperial · 4 mapsedge Imperial +17%Procyon · 2 maps
CacheProcyon ban
56%50%
Imperial · 5 mapsedge Imperial +6%Procyon · 0 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%43%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge Imperial +7%Procyon · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanProcyon remove Cache
3. PickImperial take Mirage
4. PickProcyon take Dust2
5. BanProcyon remove Anubis
6. BanImperial remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (69% / 29%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:9
Imperial 57%Procyon 43%
The model gave 57% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
Imperial 86%Procyon 14%
The model gave 86% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 77%
Series resultImperial 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2