PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circle#22 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga#46 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
64%39%
Inner Circle · 10 mapsedge Inner Circle +25%Nemiga · 14 maps
Dust2Inner Circle pick
77%56%
Inner Circle · 9 mapsedge Inner Circle +21%Nemiga · 12 maps
MirageInner Circle ban
46%64%
Inner Circle · 9 mapsedge Nemiga +18%Nemiga · 7 maps
NukeInner Circle ban
64%55%
Inner Circle · 7 mapsedge Inner Circle +9%Nemiga · 7 maps
AnubisNemiga pick
56%75%
Inner Circle · 5 mapsedge Nemiga +19%Nemiga · 8 maps
CacheNemiga ban
67%50%
Inner Circle · 2 mapsedge Inner Circle +17%Nemiga · 4 maps
OverpassNemiga ban
50%50%
Inner Circle · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Nemiga · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle remove Nuke
2. BanNemiga remove Cache
3. PickInner Circle take Dust2
4. PickNemiga take Anubis
5. BanNemiga remove Overpass
6. BanInner Circle remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (64% / 39%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct10:13
Inner Circle 27%Nemiga 73%
The model gave 73% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Ancientprediction missed7:13
Inner Circle 76%Nemiga 24%
The model gave 76% on Inner Circle — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 66%
Series resultNemiga 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2