CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:1series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
66yuBoJlbl#237 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoINOX Division pick
62%40%
INOX Division · 30 mapsedge INOX Division +22%6yuBoJlbl · 1 map
Nuke6yuBoJlbl ban
63%50%
INOX Division · 26 mapsedge INOX Division +13%6yuBoJlbl · 0 maps
Ancientpossible decider
57%50%
INOX Division · 24 mapsedge INOX Division +7%6yuBoJlbl · 0 maps
Dust26yuBoJlbl pick
46%67%
INOX Division · 20 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +21%6yuBoJlbl · 2 maps
CacheINOX Division ban
45%50%
INOX Division · 16 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +5%6yuBoJlbl · 0 maps
Anubis6yuBoJlbl ban
69%50%
INOX Division · 9 mapsedge INOX Division +19%6yuBoJlbl · 0 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%67%
INOX Division · 0 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +17%6yuBoJlbl · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Anubis
3. PickINOX Division take Inferno
4. Pick6yuBoJlbl take Dust2
5. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Nuke
6. BanINOX Division remove Cache
DeciderAncient (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct12:16
INOX Division 27%6yuBoJlbl 73%
The model gave 73% on 6yuBoJlbl — the map was taken by 6yuBoJlbl.
Nukeprediction correct13:5
INOX Division 66%6yuBoJlbl 34%
The model gave 66% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Infernoprediction correct13:10
INOX Division 71%6yuBoJlbl 29%
The model gave 71% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 76%
Series resultINOX Division 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3