CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Isurus#186 in the world · win 2:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Patins da Ferrari#154 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Isurus pick
53%57%
Isurus · 15 mapsnearly even -4%Patins da Ferrari · 3 maps
MiragePatins da Ferrari pick
60%75%
Isurus · 11 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +15%Patins da Ferrari · 4 maps
AncientIsurus ban
50%75%
Isurus · 8 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +25%Patins da Ferrari · 4 maps
NukeIsurus ban
50%38%
Isurus · 8 mapsedge Isurus +12%Patins da Ferrari · 4 maps
InfernoPatins da Ferrari ban
45%50%
Isurus · 7 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +5%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
71%60%
Isurus · 3 mapsedge Isurus +11%Patins da Ferrari · 1 map
OverpassPatins da Ferrari ban
43%50%
Isurus · 3 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +7%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIsurus remove Ancient
2. BanPatins da Ferrari remove Inferno
3. PickIsurus take Dust2
4. PickPatins da Ferrari take Mirage
5. BanPatins da Ferrari remove Overpass
6. BanIsurus remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (71% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct16:14
Isurus 53%Patins da Ferrari 47%
The model gave 53% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Ancientprediction correct4:13
Isurus 23%Patins da Ferrari 77%
The model gave 77% on Patins da Ferrari — the map was taken by Patins da Ferrari.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
Isurus 45%Patins da Ferrari 55%
The model gave 55% on Patins da Ferrari — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoritePatins da Ferrari · 57%
Series resultIsurus 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3