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Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
JiJieHao#47 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 2:1
DENDELE#41 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientJiJieHao pick
64%50%
JiJieHao · 10 mapsedge JiJieHao +14%DENDELE · 0 maps
InfernoDENDELE ban
67%60%
JiJieHao · 8 mapsedge JiJieHao +7%DENDELE · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
70%50%
JiJieHao · 6 mapsedge JiJieHao +20%DENDELE · 2 maps
AnubisDENDELE pick
43%71%
JiJieHao · 3 mapsedge DENDELE +28%DENDELE · 3 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
30%50%
JiJieHao · 6 mapsedge DENDELE +20%DENDELE · 0 maps
CacheJiJieHao ban
50%50%
JiJieHao · 2 mapsnearly even +0%DENDELE · 2 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
40%50%
JiJieHao · 1 mapedge DENDELE +10%DENDELE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
2. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
3. PickJiJieHao take Ancient
4. PickDENDELE take Anubis
5. BanDENDELE remove Inferno
6. BanJiJieHao remove Cache
DeciderMirage (70% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct16:14
JiJieHao 60%DENDELE 40%
The model gave 60% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Cacheprediction correct9:13
JiJieHao 47%DENDELE 53%
The model gave 53% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
JiJieHao 64%DENDELE 36%
The model gave 64% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Model check result
Model favoriteDENDELE · 83%
Series resultJiJieHao 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3