NODWIN Clutch Series 11 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ENCE#112 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
54%39%
Just Players · 35 mapsedge Just Players +15%ENCE · 14 maps
AncientENCE ban
59%55%
Just Players · 25 mapsnearly even +4%ENCE · 7 maps
Dust2ENCE ban
38%40%
Just Players · 25 mapsnearly even -2%ENCE · 1 map
NukeENCE pick
44%55%
Just Players · 14 mapsedge ENCE +11%ENCE · 7 maps
AnubisJust Players ban
70%71%
Just Players · 6 mapsnearly even -1%ENCE · 3 maps
CacheJust Players ban
30%57%
Just Players · 6 mapsedge ENCE +27%ENCE · 3 maps
Overpasspossible decider
56%50%
Just Players · 5 mapsedge Just Players +6%ENCE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Players remove Cache
2. BanENCE remove Dust2
3. PickJust Players take Mirage
4. PickENCE take Nuke
5. BanENCE remove Ancient
6. BanJust Players remove Anubis
DeciderOverpass (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct7:13
Just Players 37%ENCE 63%
The model gave 63% on ENCE — the map was taken by ENCE.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
Just Players 57%ENCE 43%
The model gave 57% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Anubisprediction correct20:22
Just Players 48%ENCE 52%
The model gave 52% on ENCE — the map was taken by ENCE.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Players · 54%
Series resultENCE 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3