CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
56%50%
Just Players · 35 mapsedge Just Players +6%Spirit Academy · 6 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
61%73%
Just Players · 27 mapsedge Spirit Academy +12%Spirit Academy · 11 maps
Dust2possible decider
40%50%
Just Players · 26 mapsedge Spirit Academy +10%Spirit Academy · 12 maps
NukeJust Players ban
33%36%
Just Players · 17 mapsnearly even -3%Spirit Academy · 7 maps
CacheJust Players ban
31%54%
Just Players · 9 mapsedge Spirit Academy +23%Spirit Academy · 9 maps
AnubisSpirit Academy ban
54%71%
Just Players · 9 mapsedge Spirit Academy +17%Spirit Academy · 3 maps
DefaultSpirit Academy ban
67%50%
Just Players · 8 mapsedge Just Players +17%Spirit Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Players remove Cache
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Default
3. PickJust Players take Mirage
4. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Anubis
6. BanJust Players remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:10
Just Players 44%Spirit Academy 56%
The model gave 56% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Just Players.
Mirageprediction correct16:14
Just Players 59%Spirit Academy 41%
The model gave 59% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 53%
Series resultJust Players 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2