GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#44 in the world · win 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageK27 pick
68%62%
K27 · 15 mapsedge K27 +6%Rune Eaters · 22 maps
Dust2K27 ban
64%52%
K27 · 7 mapsedge K27 +12%Rune Eaters · 23 maps
AncientRune Eaters pick
67%50%
K27 · 11 mapsedge K27 +17%Rune Eaters · 18 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
22%44%
K27 · 14 mapsedge Rune Eaters +22%Rune Eaters · 5 maps
InfernoK27 ban
50%50%
K27 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Rune Eaters · 10 maps
AnubisRune Eaters ban
50%67%
K27 · 6 mapsedge Rune Eaters +17%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
70%60%
K27 · 6 mapsedge K27 +10%Rune Eaters · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Inferno
2. BanRune Eaters remove Anubis
3. PickK27 take Mirage
4. PickRune Eaters take Ancient
5. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
6. BanK27 remove Dust2
DeciderCache (70% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
K27 59%Rune Eaters 41%
The model gave 59% on K27 — the map was taken by K27.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
K27 69%Rune Eaters 31%
The model gave 69% on K27 — the map was taken by K27.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 70%
Series resultK27 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2