Digital Crusade Super DraculaN Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#44 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Walczaki#149 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWalczaki pick
30%63%
K27 · 6 mapsedge Walczaki +33%Walczaki · 26 maps
Ancientpossible decider
64%65%
K27 · 7 mapsnearly even -1%Walczaki · 16 maps
Dust2K27 pick
63%45%
K27 · 4 mapsedge K27 +18%Walczaki · 16 maps
AnubisK27 ban
43%67%
K27 · 3 mapsedge Walczaki +24%Walczaki · 14 maps
MirageWalczaki ban
55%77%
K27 · 7 mapsedge Walczaki +22%Walczaki · 9 maps
InfernoK27 ban
50%60%
K27 · 0 mapsedge Walczaki +10%Walczaki · 11 maps
OverpassWalczaki ban
60%33%
K27 · 6 mapsedge K27 +27%Walczaki · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Inferno
2. BanWalczaki remove Overpass
3. PickK27 take Dust2
4. PickWalczaki take Nuke
5. BanWalczaki remove Mirage
6. BanK27 remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (64% / 65%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
K27 50%Walczaki 50%
The model gave 50% on K27 — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 56%
Series resultWalczaki 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1