CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Leo#117 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Leo ban
60%50%
Lavked · 16 mapsedge Lavked +10%Leo · 22 maps
NukeLeo pick
50%80%
Lavked · 14 mapsedge Leo +30%Leo · 16 maps
AncientLavked ban
35%50%
Lavked · 13 mapsedge Leo +15%Leo · 16 maps
MirageLeo ban
36%40%
Lavked · 18 mapsnearly even -4%Leo · 6 maps
AnubisLavked pick
56%36%
Lavked · 5 mapsedge Lavked +20%Leo · 10 maps
CacheLavked ban
40%43%
Lavked · 1 mapnearly even -3%Leo · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
43%40%
Lavked · 3 mapsnearly even +3%Leo · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Cache
2. BanLeo remove Mirage
3. PickLavked take Anubis
4. PickLeo take Nuke
5. BanLeo remove Dust2
6. BanLavked remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (43% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
Lavked 49%Leo 51%
The model gave 51% on Leo — the map was taken by Lavked.
Ancientprediction missed13:2
Lavked 33%Leo 67%
The model gave 67% on Leo — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 51%
Series resultLavked 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2