CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Enjoy#199 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Leo ban
41%44%
Leo · 25 mapsnearly even -3%Enjoy · 12 maps
CacheLeo pick
50%58%
Leo · 14 mapsedge Enjoy +8%Enjoy · 15 maps
NukeEnjoy ban
86%29%
Leo · 24 mapsedge Leo +57%Enjoy · 3 maps
MirageLeo ban
33%53%
Leo · 11 mapsedge Enjoy +20%Enjoy · 15 maps
Ancientpossible decider
38%55%
Leo · 17 mapsedge Enjoy +17%Enjoy · 7 maps
AnubisEnjoy ban
36%40%
Leo · 10 mapsnearly even -4%Enjoy · 1 map
DefaultEnjoy pick
22%71%
Leo · 5 mapsedge Enjoy +49%Enjoy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Mirage
2. BanEnjoy remove Nuke
3. PickLeo take Cache
4. PickEnjoy take Default
5. BanEnjoy remove Anubis
6. BanLeo remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (38% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
Leo 51%Enjoy 49%
The model gave 51% on Leo — the map was taken by Enjoy.
Mirageprediction missed16:13
Leo 29%Enjoy 71%
The model gave 71% on Enjoy — the map was taken by Leo.
Cacheprediction missed13:8
Leo 42%Enjoy 58%
The model gave 58% on Enjoy — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeo · 64%
Series resultLeo 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3