iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Liquid#27 in the world · win 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Chicken Coop#151 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeChicken Coop pick
60%57%
Liquid · 11 mapsnearly even +3%Chicken Coop · 3 maps
Dust2Liquid ban
40%44%
Liquid · 6 mapsnearly even -4%Chicken Coop · 5 maps
AnubisChicken Coop ban
64%50%
Liquid · 10 mapsedge Liquid +14%Chicken Coop · 0 maps
InfernoLiquid pick
71%36%
Liquid · 3 mapsedge Liquid +35%Chicken Coop · 7 maps
CacheLiquid ban
55%50%
Liquid · 7 mapsedge Liquid +5%Chicken Coop · 0 maps
MirageChicken Coop ban
67%40%
Liquid · 5 mapsedge Liquid +27%Chicken Coop · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
60%43%
Liquid · 1 mapedge Liquid +17%Chicken Coop · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLiquid remove Dust2
2. BanChicken Coop remove Anubis
3. PickLiquid take Inferno
4. PickChicken Coop take Nuke
5. BanChicken Coop remove Mirage
6. BanLiquid remove Cache
DeciderDefault (60% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:3
Liquid 80%Chicken Coop 20%
The model gave 80% on Liquid — the map was taken by Liquid.
Cacheprediction correct13:4
Liquid 58%Chicken Coop 42%
The model gave 58% on Liquid — the map was taken by Liquid.
Model check result
Model favoriteLiquid · 86%
Series resultLiquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2