ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
LPH#150 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
WBT Academy#110 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisWBT Academy pick
50%56%
LPH · 6 mapsedge WBT Academy +6%WBT Academy · 12 maps
NukeLPH pick
53%36%
LPH · 11 mapsedge LPH +17%WBT Academy · 7 maps
Ancientpossible decider
59%63%
LPH · 13 mapsnearly even -4%WBT Academy · 4 maps
Dust2LPH ban
58%73%
LPH · 8 mapsedge WBT Academy +15%WBT Academy · 7 maps
MirageWBT Academy ban
67%45%
LPH · 2 mapsedge LPH +22%WBT Academy · 7 maps
InfernoWBT Academy ban
73%50%
LPH · 7 mapsedge LPH +23%WBT Academy · 0 maps
CacheLPH ban
29%50%
LPH · 3 mapsedge WBT Academy +21%WBT Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLPH remove Cache
2. BanWBT Academy remove Inferno
3. PickLPH take Nuke
4. PickWBT Academy take Anubis
5. BanWBT Academy remove Mirage
6. BanLPH remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (59% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed14:16
LPH 69%WBT Academy 31%
The model gave 69% on LPH — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
LPH 32%WBT Academy 68%
The model gave 68% on WBT Academy — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT Academy · 64%
Series resultWBT Academy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2