Esports World Cup 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Lynn Vision#39 in the world · loss 8:13series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 8:13
MOUZ#3 in the world · win 13:8The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMOUZ ban
43%45%
Lynn Vision · 10 mapsnearly even -2%MOUZ · 7 maps
Dust2MOUZ ban
54%67%
Lynn Vision · 9 mapsedge MOUZ +13%MOUZ · 8 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%50%
Lynn Vision · 8 mapsnearly even +0%MOUZ · 6 maps
NukeLynn Vision ban
57%71%
Lynn Vision · 3 mapsedge MOUZ +14%MOUZ · 10 maps
MirageLynn Vision ban
50%69%
Lynn Vision · 0 mapsedge MOUZ +19%MOUZ · 9 maps
OverpassLynn Vision ban
60%67%
Lynn Vision · 1 mapedge MOUZ +7%MOUZ · 5 maps
AnubisMOUZ ban
57%50%
Lynn Vision · 3 mapsedge Lynn Vision +7%MOUZ · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLynn Vision remove Mirage
2. BanMOUZ remove Anubis
3. BanLynn Vision remove Nuke
4. BanMOUZ remove Ancient
5. BanLynn Vision remove Overpass
6. BanMOUZ remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
Lynn Vision 37%MOUZ 63%
The model gave 63% on MOUZ — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 86%
Series resultMOUZ 8:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1