CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
M80#27 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 1:2
MOUZ#3 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoM80 pick
38%63%
M80 · 4 mapsedge MOUZ +25%MOUZ · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
29%43%
M80 · 3 mapsedge MOUZ +14%MOUZ · 3 maps
MirageMOUZ pick
50%63%
M80 · 2 mapsedge MOUZ +13%MOUZ · 4 maps
Dust2M80 ban
67%57%
M80 · 2 mapsedge M80 +10%MOUZ · 3 maps
NukeM80 ban
50%67%
M80 · 0 mapsedge MOUZ +17%MOUZ · 5 maps
DefaultMOUZ ban
67%50%
M80 · 2 mapsedge M80 +17%MOUZ · 0 maps
AnubisMOUZ ban
40%50%
M80 · 1 mapedge MOUZ +10%MOUZ · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanM80 remove Nuke
2. BanMOUZ remove Anubis
3. PickM80 take Inferno
4. PickMOUZ take Mirage
5. BanMOUZ remove Default
6. BanM80 remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (29% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed3:13
M80 53%MOUZ 47%
The model gave 53% on M80 — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Infernoprediction missed13:10
M80 24%MOUZ 76%
The model gave 76% on MOUZ — the map was taken by M80.
Mirageprediction correct2:13
M80 38%MOUZ 62%
The model gave 63% on MOUZ — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 70%
Series resultMOUZ 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3