PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Open Qualifier 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Marsborne#84 in the world · win 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMarsborne pick
69%50%
Marsborne · 9 mapsedge Marsborne +19%The Homies · 0 maps
Dust2Marsborne ban
55%50%
Marsborne · 7 mapsedge Marsborne +5%The Homies · 0 maps
InfernoThe Homies ban
73%50%
Marsborne · 7 mapsedge Marsborne +23%The Homies · 0 maps
MirageThe Homies ban
63%50%
Marsborne · 4 mapsedge Marsborne +13%The Homies · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
57%50%
Marsborne · 3 mapsedge Marsborne +7%The Homies · 0 maps
NukeMarsborne ban
57%50%
Marsborne · 3 mapsedge Marsborne +7%The Homies · 0 maps
OverpassThe Homies pick
50%50%
Marsborne · 2 mapsnearly even +0%The Homies · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMarsborne remove Dust2
2. BanThe Homies remove Inferno
3. PickMarsborne take Ancient
4. PickThe Homies take Overpass
5. BanThe Homies remove Mirage
6. BanMarsborne remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:2
Marsborne 60%The Homies 40%
The model gave 60% on Marsborne — the map was taken by Marsborne.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
Marsborne 60%The Homies 40%
The model gave 60% on Marsborne — the map was taken by Marsborne.
Model check result
Model favoriteMarsborne · 69%
Series resultMarsborne 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2