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CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
MEIA NOITE#230 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ODDIK#140 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ODDIK pick
57%50%
MEIA NOITE · 3 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +7%ODDIK · 6 maps
MirageMEIA NOITE pick
44%63%
MEIA NOITE · 5 mapsedge ODDIK +19%ODDIK · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
29%50%
MEIA NOITE · 3 mapsedge ODDIK +21%ODDIK · 4 maps
CacheMEIA NOITE ban
33%57%
MEIA NOITE · 2 mapsedge ODDIK +24%ODDIK · 3 maps
NukeODDIK ban
40%71%
MEIA NOITE · 1 mapedge ODDIK +31%ODDIK · 3 maps
AnubisMEIA NOITE ban
50%67%
MEIA NOITE · 0 mapsedge ODDIK +17%ODDIK · 2 maps
InfernoODDIK ban
67%50%
MEIA NOITE · 2 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +17%ODDIK · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMEIA NOITE remove Anubis
2. BanODDIK remove Inferno
3. PickMEIA NOITE take Mirage
4. PickODDIK take Dust2
5. BanODDIK remove Nuke
6. BanMEIA NOITE remove Cache
DeciderAncient (29% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
MEIA NOITE 35%ODDIK 65%
The model gave 65% on ODDIK — the map was taken by ODDIK.
Dust2prediction missed2:13
MEIA NOITE 54%ODDIK 46%
The model gave 54% on MEIA NOITE — the map was taken by ODDIK.
Model check result
Model favoriteODDIK · 67%
Series resultODDIK 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2