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BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:2
paiN Academy#286 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2METANOIA Wolves pick
50%40%
METANOIA Wolves · 4 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +10%paiN Academy · 6 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
50%55%
METANOIA Wolves · 0 mapsedge paiN Academy +5%paiN Academy · 7 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 3 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +7%paiN Academy · 2 maps
AncientpaiN Academy ban
50%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 4 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 0 maps
AnubispaiN Academy pick
40%43%
METANOIA Wolves · 1 mapnearly even -3%paiN Academy · 3 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
50%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 2 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 2 maps
OverpassMETANOIA Wolves ban
50%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 0 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
3. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Dust2
4. PickpaiN Academy take Anubis
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
6. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Overpass
DeciderDefault (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
METANOIA Wolves 57%paiN Academy 43%
The model gave 57% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
METANOIA Wolves 53%paiN Academy 47%
The model gave 53% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Anubisprediction correct6:13
METANOIA Wolves 47%paiN Academy 53%
The model gave 53% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteMETANOIA Wolves · 57%
Series resultpaiN Academy 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3