ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Metizport#52 in the world · win 2:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
EAC#76 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeMetizport pick
50%42%
Metizport · 2 mapsedge Metizport +8%EAC · 8 maps
OverpassEAC pick
33%55%
Metizport · 2 mapsedge EAC +22%EAC · 7 maps
AncientMetizport ban
50%44%
Metizport · 0 mapsedge Metizport +6%EAC · 5 maps
MirageEAC ban
60%43%
Metizport · 1 mapedge Metizport +17%EAC · 3 maps
DefaultEAC ban
60%50%
Metizport · 1 mapedge Metizport +10%EAC · 0 maps
InfernoMetizport ban
50%40%
Metizport · 0 mapsedge Metizport +10%EAC · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMetizport remove Ancient
2. BanEAC remove Default
3. PickMetizport take Nuke
4. PickEAC take Overpass
5. BanEAC remove Mirage
6. BanMetizport remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct28:26
Metizport 61%EAC 39%
The model gave 61% on Metizport — the map was taken by Metizport.
Mirageprediction missed14:16
Metizport 64%EAC 36%
The model gave 64% on Metizport — the map was taken by EAC.
Overpassprediction missed13:7
Metizport 29%EAC 71%
The model gave 71% on EAC — the map was taken by Metizport.
Model check result
Model favoriteMetizport · 56%
Series resultMetizport 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3