StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
MIBR#12 in the world · win 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BESTIA#65 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2MIBR ban
50%71%
MIBR · 0 mapsedge BESTIA +21%BESTIA · 13 maps
MirageMIBR pick
57%71%
MIBR · 10 mapsedge BESTIA +14%BESTIA · 3 maps
NukeMIBR ban
64%60%
MIBR · 7 mapsnearly even +4%BESTIA · 6 maps
Ancientpossible decider
36%56%
MIBR · 7 mapsedge BESTIA +20%BESTIA · 5 maps
InfernoBESTIA ban
44%38%
MIBR · 5 mapsedge MIBR +6%BESTIA · 4 maps
AnubisBESTIA ban
71%50%
MIBR · 3 mapsedge MIBR +21%BESTIA · 0 maps
CacheBESTIA pick
50%57%
MIBR · 0 mapsedge BESTIA +7%BESTIA · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMIBR remove Dust2
2. BanBESTIA remove Anubis
3. PickMIBR take Mirage
4. PickBESTIA take Cache
5. BanBESTIA remove Inferno
6. BanMIBR remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (36% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:9
MIBR 40%BESTIA 60%
The model gave 60% on BESTIA — the map was taken by MIBR.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
MIBR 60%BESTIA 40%
The model gave 60% on MIBR — the map was taken by MIBR.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR · 72%
Series resultMIBR 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2