CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Misa#115 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
brazylijski luz#146 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
50%33%
Misa · 6 mapsedge Misa +17%brazylijski luz · 5 maps
Dust2Misa pick
70%57%
Misa · 6 mapsedge Misa +13%brazylijski luz · 3 maps
AncientMisa ban
50%42%
Misa · 0 mapsedge Misa +8%brazylijski luz · 8 maps
Anubisbrazylijski luz ban
38%57%
Misa · 4 mapsedge brazylijski luz +19%brazylijski luz · 3 maps
Nukebrazylijski luz pick
50%67%
Misa · 4 mapsedge brazylijski luz +17%brazylijski luz · 2 maps
Infernobrazylijski luz ban
50%40%
Misa · 4 mapsedge Misa +10%brazylijski luz · 1 map
DefaultMisa ban
50%67%
Misa · 0 mapsedge brazylijski luz +17%brazylijski luz · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMisa remove Ancient
2. Banbrazylijski luz remove Inferno
3. PickMisa take Dust2
4. Pickbrazylijski luz take Nuke
5. Banbrazylijski luz remove Anubis
6. BanMisa remove Default
DeciderMirage (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct8:13
Misa 31%brazylijski luz 69%
The model gave 69% on brazylijski luz — the map was taken by brazylijski luz.
Dust2prediction missed5:13
Misa 66%brazylijski luz 34%
The model gave 66% on Misa — the map was taken by brazylijski luz.
Model check result
Model favoritebrazylijski luz · 58%
Series resultbrazylijski luz 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2