GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemesis#43 in the world · win 2:0series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Xcity#224 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNemesis ban
41%50%
Nemesis · 13 mapsedge Xcity +9%Xcity · 0 maps
MirageNemesis pick
67%50%
Nemesis · 11 mapsedge Nemesis +17%Xcity · 0 maps
InfernoXcity ban
57%50%
Nemesis · 10 mapsedge Nemesis +7%Xcity · 0 maps
NukeXcity ban
77%50%
Nemesis · 9 mapsedge Nemesis +27%Xcity · 0 maps
Dust2Nemesis ban
58%50%
Nemesis · 8 mapsedge Nemesis +8%Xcity · 0 maps
Overpasspossible decider
43%50%
Nemesis · 3 mapsedge Xcity +7%Xcity · 0 maps
DefaultXcity pick
60%60%
Nemesis · 1 mapnearly even +0%Xcity · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemesis remove Dust2
2. BanXcity remove Nuke
3. PickNemesis take Mirage
4. PickXcity take Default
5. BanXcity remove Inferno
6. BanNemesis remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:4
Nemesis 38%Xcity 62%
The model gave 62% on Xcity — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
Nemesis 60%Xcity 40%
The model gave 60% on Nemesis — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemesis · 85%
Series resultNemesis 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2