CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
36%62%
Nemiga · 10 mapsedge Black Phoenix +26%Black Phoenix · 22 maps
MirageNemiga ban
56%44%
Nemiga · 5 mapsedge Nemiga +12%Black Phoenix · 14 maps
NukeNemiga pick
71%50%
Nemiga · 3 mapsedge Nemiga +21%Black Phoenix · 12 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
70%17%
Nemiga · 6 mapsedge Nemiga +53%Black Phoenix · 8 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%62%
Nemiga · 0 mapsedge Black Phoenix +12%Black Phoenix · 9 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
50%62%
Nemiga · 0 mapsedge Black Phoenix +12%Black Phoenix · 9 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
50%50%
Nemiga · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Black Phoenix · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Inferno
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
3. PickNemiga take Nuke
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
6. BanNemiga remove Mirage
DeciderCache (50% / 62%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:5
Nemiga 93%Black Phoenix 7%
The model gave 93% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Dust2prediction missed13:4
Nemiga 24%Black Phoenix 76%
The model gave 76% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 58%
Series resultNemiga 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2