ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Nordic Partners#118 in the world · win 13:7series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 13:7
Lilmix#204 in the world · loss 7:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisLilmix ban
47%50%
Nordic Partners · 11 mapsnearly even -3%Lilmix · 2 maps
MirageLilmix ban
50%33%
Nordic Partners · 6 mapsedge Nordic Partners +17%Lilmix · 5 maps
Cachepossible decider
30%43%
Nordic Partners · 6 mapsedge Lilmix +13%Lilmix · 3 maps
AncientNordic Partners ban
33%30%
Nordic Partners · 2 mapsnearly even +3%Lilmix · 6 maps
InfernoNordic Partners ban
29%33%
Nordic Partners · 3 mapsnearly even -4%Lilmix · 2 maps
Dust2Nordic Partners ban
29%40%
Nordic Partners · 3 mapsedge Lilmix +11%Lilmix · 1 map
NukeLilmix ban
50%50%
Nordic Partners · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Lilmix · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNordic Partners remove Dust2
2. BanLilmix remove Nuke
3. BanNordic Partners remove Ancient
4. BanLilmix remove Anubis
5. BanNordic Partners remove Inferno
6. BanLilmix remove Mirage
DeciderCache (30% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:7
Nordic Partners 47%Lilmix 53%
The model gave 53% on Lilmix — the map was taken by Nordic Partners.
Model check result
Model favoriteNordic Partners · 62%
Series resultNordic Partners 13:7
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1