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ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · BO3
pre-match prediction
OLDBOYS PL
series probability
42%58%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
LPH#149 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientOLDBOYS PL pick
60%54%
OLDBOYS PL · 1 mapedge OLDBOYS PL +6%LPH · 9 maps
Dust2OLDBOYS PL ban
40%58%
OLDBOYS PL · 1 mapedge LPH +18%LPH · 8 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%55%
OLDBOYS PL · 2 mapsedge LPH +5%LPH · 7 maps
AnubisLPH ban
67%50%
OLDBOYS PL · 2 mapsedge OLDBOYS PL +17%LPH · 4 maps
InfernoLPH pick
50%67%
OLDBOYS PL · 0 mapsedge LPH +17%LPH · 5 maps
CacheLPH ban
50%33%
OLDBOYS PL · 0 mapsedge OLDBOYS PL +17%LPH · 2 maps
MirageOLDBOYS PL ban
33%50%
OLDBOYS PL · 2 mapsedge LPH +17%LPH · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOLDBOYS PL remove Mirage
2. BanLPH remove Anubis
3. PickOLDBOYS PL take Ancient
4. PickLPH take Inferno
5. BanLPH remove Cache
6. BanOLDBOYS PL remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (50% / 55%)