CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ALKA#129 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ALKA pick
47%60%
paiN Academy · 11 mapsedge ALKA +13%ALKA · 11 maps
MiragepaiN Academy pick
47%50%
paiN Academy · 13 mapsnearly even -3%ALKA · 6 maps
NukeALKA ban
38%50%
paiN Academy · 9 mapsedge ALKA +12%ALKA · 8 maps
InfernopaiN Academy ban
45%64%
paiN Academy · 7 mapsedge ALKA +19%ALKA · 7 maps
AncientpaiN Academy ban
40%57%
paiN Academy · 1 mapedge ALKA +17%ALKA · 10 maps
AnubisALKA ban
54%40%
paiN Academy · 9 mapsedge paiN Academy +14%ALKA · 1 map
Cachepossible decider
50%57%
paiN Academy · 6 mapsedge ALKA +7%ALKA · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
2. BanALKA remove Anubis
3. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
4. PickALKA take Dust2
5. BanALKA remove Nuke
6. BanpaiN Academy remove Inferno
DeciderCache (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct7:13
paiN Academy 46%ALKA 54%
The model gave 54% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
paiN Academy 34%ALKA 66%
The model gave 66% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteALKA · 75%
Series resultALKA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2