CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN Academy#286 in the world · win 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GUARA#234 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragepaiN Academy pick
50%43%
paiN Academy · 12 mapsedge paiN Academy +7%GUARA · 3 maps
Dust2GUARA ban
38%22%
paiN Academy · 9 mapsedge paiN Academy +16%GUARA · 5 maps
InfernopaiN Academy ban
63%29%
paiN Academy · 4 mapsedge paiN Academy +34%GUARA · 3 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
43%25%
paiN Academy · 3 mapsedge paiN Academy +18%GUARA · 4 maps
Anubispossible decider
56%50%
paiN Academy · 5 mapsedge paiN Academy +6%GUARA · 0 maps
DefaultGUARA pick
57%67%
paiN Academy · 3 mapsedge GUARA +10%GUARA · 2 maps
OverpassGUARA ban
43%50%
paiN Academy · 3 mapsedge GUARA +7%GUARA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
2. BanGUARA remove Dust2
3. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
4. PickGUARA take Default
5. BanGUARA remove Overpass
6. BanpaiN Academy remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
paiN Academy 71%GUARA 29%
The model gave 71% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
paiN Academy 67%GUARA 33%
The model gave 67% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN Academy · 57%
Series resultpaiN Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2