1xBet FRAG Season 18 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · win 2:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
44%71%
Rune Eaters · 23 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +27%Bushido Wildcats · 47 maps
MirageRune Eaters pick
60%59%
Rune Eaters · 16 mapsnearly even +1%Bushido Wildcats · 37 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
67%51%
Rune Eaters · 2 mapsedge Rune Eaters +16%Bushido Wildcats · 31 map
Cachepossible decider
60%59%
Rune Eaters · 6 mapsnearly even +1%Bushido Wildcats · 18 maps
InfernoRune Eaters ban
36%50%
Rune Eaters · 7 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +14%Bushido Wildcats · 14 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
71%50%
Rune Eaters · 3 mapsedge Rune Eaters +21%Bushido Wildcats · 12 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
53%40%
Rune Eaters · 13 mapsedge Rune Eaters +13%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRune Eaters remove Inferno
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
3. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
6. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
DeciderCache (60% / 59%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:10
Rune Eaters 34%Bushido Wildcats 66%
The model gave 66% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
Rune Eaters 27%Bushido Wildcats 73%
The model gave 73% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
Rune Eaters 52%Bushido Wildcats 48%
The model gave 52% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 64%
Series resultRune Eaters 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3