1xBet FRAG Season 18 · BO1
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · win 13:2series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 13:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Rune Eaters ban
42%40%
Rune Eaters · 20 mapsnearly even +2%DNK · 1 map
MirageDNK ban
61%40%
Rune Eaters · 14 mapsedge Rune Eaters +21%DNK · 1 map
Ancientpossible decider
53%50%
Rune Eaters · 13 mapsnearly even +3%DNK · 0 maps
InfernoRune Eaters ban
36%50%
Rune Eaters · 7 mapsedge DNK +14%DNK · 0 maps
AnubisDNK ban
71%40%
Rune Eaters · 3 mapsedge Rune Eaters +31%DNK · 1 map
CacheRune Eaters ban
50%50%
Rune Eaters · 4 mapsnearly even +0%DNK · 0 maps
DefaultDNK ban
71%50%
Rune Eaters · 3 mapsedge Rune Eaters +21%DNK · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRune Eaters remove Cache
2. BanDNK remove Default
3. BanRune Eaters remove Inferno
4. BanDNK remove Anubis
5. BanRune Eaters remove Dust2
6. BanDNK remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (53% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
Rune Eaters 52%DNK 48%
The model gave 52% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 71%
Series resultRune Eaters 13:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1