UKIC Masters Fall 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ryvex#181 in the world · win 2:0series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Coalesce#242 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Ryvex ban
50%50%
Ryvex · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Coalesce · 4 maps
OverpassCoalesce ban
50%40%
Ryvex · 0 mapsedge Ryvex +10%Coalesce · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRyvex remove Dust2
2. BanCoalesce remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
Ryvex 47%Coalesce 53%
The model gave 53% on Coalesce — the map was taken by Ryvex.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
Ryvex 53%Coalesce 47%
The model gave 53% on Ryvex — the map was taken by Ryvex.
Model check result
Model favoriteCoalesce · 62%
Series resultRyvex 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2