CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
50%36%
Saint Sinners · 0 mapsedge Saint Sinners +14%Mai Tai · 18 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%38%
Saint Sinners · 0 mapsedge Saint Sinners +12%Mai Tai · 17 maps
AncientSaint Sinners ban
50%46%
Saint Sinners · 0 mapsnearly even +4%Mai Tai · 9 maps
NukeSaint Sinners pick
40%33%
Saint Sinners · 1 mapedge Saint Sinners +7%Mai Tai · 8 maps
Dust2Mai Tai ban
50%36%
Saint Sinners · 0 mapsedge Saint Sinners +14%Mai Tai · 7 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
50%30%
Saint Sinners · 0 mapsedge Saint Sinners +20%Mai Tai · 6 maps
CacheSaint Sinners ban
40%44%
Saint Sinners · 1 mapnearly even -4%Mai Tai · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSaint Sinners remove Ancient
2. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
3. PickSaint Sinners take Nuke
4. PickMai Tai take Mirage
5. BanMai Tai remove Dust2
6. BanSaint Sinners remove Cache
DeciderDefault (50% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Saint Sinners 62%Mai Tai 38%
The model gave 62% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Saint Sinners.
Model check result
Model favoriteMai Tai · 64%
Series resultSaint Sinners 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1