POWER Ligaen Season 32 · BO1
result vs prediction
Sashi Academy#169 in the world · loss 7:13series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 7:13
STATE#137 in the world · win 13:7The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSashi Academy ban
50%50%
Sashi Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%STATE · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
57%57%
Sashi Academy · 3 mapsnearly even +0%STATE · 3 maps
NukeSashi Academy ban
33%71%
Sashi Academy · 2 mapsedge STATE +38%STATE · 3 maps
OverpassSTATE ban
40%43%
Sashi Academy · 1 mapnearly even -3%STATE · 3 maps
MirageSTATE ban
50%57%
Sashi Academy · 0 mapsedge STATE +7%STATE · 3 maps
AnubisSashi Academy ban
50%60%
Sashi Academy · 0 mapsedge STATE +10%STATE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSashi Academy remove Anubis
2. BanSTATE remove Overpass
3. BanSashi Academy remove Nuke
4. BanSTATE remove Mirage
5. BanSashi Academy remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (57% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed7:13
Sashi Academy 50%STATE 50%
The model gave 50% on Sashi Academy — the map was taken by STATE.
Model check result
Model favoriteSTATE · 76%
Series resultSTATE 7:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1