?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
benched gods#162 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
59%50%
SPARTA · 28 mapsedge SPARTA +9%benched gods · 4 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
33%45%
SPARTA · 17 mapsedge benched gods +12%benched gods · 7 maps
Miragebenched gods ban
55%40%
SPARTA · 18 mapsedge SPARTA +15%benched gods · 1 map
Nukebenched gods ban
47%60%
SPARTA · 15 mapsedge benched gods +13%benched gods · 1 map
Infernobenched gods pick
43%67%
SPARTA · 10 mapsedge benched gods +24%benched gods · 2 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
43%44%
SPARTA · 3 mapsnearly even -1%benched gods · 5 maps
Overpasspossible decider
45%40%
SPARTA · 7 mapsedge SPARTA +5%benched gods · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. Banbenched gods remove Mirage
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. Pickbenched gods take Inferno
5. Banbenched gods remove Nuke
6. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (45% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct10:13
SPARTA 47%benched gods 53%
The model gave 53% on benched gods — the map was taken by benched gods.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
SPARTA 62%benched gods 38%
The model gave 62% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Ancientprediction missed16:14
SPARTA 37%benched gods 63%
The model gave 63% on benched gods — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 56%
Series resultSPARTA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3