CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Fire Flux#103 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
53%55%
Spirit Academy · 13 mapsnearly even -2%Fire Flux · 16 maps
CacheFire Flux pick
53%59%
Spirit Academy · 13 mapsedge Fire Flux +6%Fire Flux · 13 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
47%50%
Spirit Academy · 11 mapsnearly even -3%Fire Flux · 12 maps
NukeFire Flux ban
44%46%
Spirit Academy · 14 mapsnearly even -2%Fire Flux · 9 maps
AncientFire Flux ban
68%25%
Spirit Academy · 15 mapsedge Spirit Academy +43%Fire Flux · 4 maps
AnubisSpirit Academy pick
75%67%
Spirit Academy · 4 mapsedge Spirit Academy +8%Fire Flux · 14 maps
InfernoSpirit Academy ban
50%67%
Spirit Academy · 0 mapsedge Fire Flux +17%Fire Flux · 11 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Inferno
2. BanFire Flux remove Ancient
3. PickSpirit Academy take Anubis
4. PickFire Flux take Cache
5. BanFire Flux remove Nuke
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (53% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
Spirit Academy 51%Fire Flux 49%
The model gave 51% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Anubisprediction missed20:22
Spirit Academy 57%Fire Flux 43%
The model gave 57% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
Spirit Academy 48%Fire Flux 52%
The model gave 52% on Fire Flux — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteFire Flux · 53%
Series resultSpirit Academy 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3