Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
STATE#137 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
9INE#80 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeSTATE pick
58%62%
STATE · 8 mapsnearly even -4%9INE · 9 maps
Ancient9INE pick
40%50%
STATE · 6 mapsedge 9INE +10%9INE · 6 maps
Cachepossible decider
57%33%
STATE · 3 mapsedge STATE +24%9INE · 2 maps
Dust2STATE ban
50%33%
STATE · 0 mapsedge STATE +17%9INE · 5 maps
Mirage9INE ban
57%50%
STATE · 3 mapsedge STATE +7%9INE · 2 maps
AnubisSTATE ban
33%50%
STATE · 2 mapsedge 9INE +17%9INE · 2 maps
Inferno9INE ban
57%60%
STATE · 3 mapsnearly even -3%9INE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSTATE remove Dust2
2. Ban9INE remove Mirage
3. PickSTATE take Nuke
4. Pick9INE take Ancient
5. Ban9INE remove Inferno
6. BanSTATE remove Anubis
DeciderCache (57% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed7:13
STATE 75%9INE 25%
The model gave 75% on STATE — the map was taken by 9INE.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
STATE 37%9INE 63%
The model gave 63% on 9INE — the map was taken by 9INE.
Model check result
Model favorite9INE · 72%
Series result9INE 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2