CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Strael Bora#202 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
megoshort#200 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Infernopossible decider
50%38%
Strael Bora · 4 mapsedge Strael Bora +12%megoshort · 4 maps
Miragemegoshort pick
50%50%
Strael Bora · 0 mapsnearly even +0%megoshort · 8 maps
AncientStrael Bora ban
50%44%
Strael Bora · 2 mapsedge Strael Bora +6%megoshort · 5 maps
Dust2Strael Bora ban
40%56%
Strael Bora · 1 mapedge megoshort +16%megoshort · 5 maps
Anubismegoshort ban
22%50%
Strael Bora · 5 mapsedge megoshort +28%megoshort · 0 maps
DefaultStrael Bora pick
50%38%
Strael Bora · 0 mapsedge Strael Bora +12%megoshort · 4 maps
Nukemegoshort ban
29%50%
Strael Bora · 3 mapsedge megoshort +21%megoshort · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanStrael Bora remove Dust2
2. Banmegoshort remove Nuke
3. PickStrael Bora take Default
4. Pickmegoshort take Mirage
5. Banmegoshort remove Anubis
6. BanStrael Bora remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (50% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:3
Strael Bora 24%megoshort 76%
The model gave 76% on megoshort — the map was taken by Strael Bora.
Dust2prediction correct1:13
Strael Bora 32%megoshort 68%
The model gave 68% on megoshort — the map was taken by megoshort.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
Strael Bora 56%megoshort 44%
The model gave 56% on Strael Bora — the map was taken by megoshort.
Model check result
Model favoritemegoshort · 50%
Series resultmegoshort 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3