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1win Private Club Season 2 · BO3
pre-match prediction
The MongolZ#16 in the world
series probability
53%47%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Alliance#22 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoThe MongolZ pick
40%46%
The MongolZ · 6 mapsedge Alliance +6%Alliance · 9 maps
AncientAlliance pick
57%56%
The MongolZ · 3 mapsnearly even +1%Alliance · 5 maps
Dust2The MongolZ ban
57%25%
The MongolZ · 3 mapsedge The MongolZ +32%Alliance · 4 maps
NukeThe MongolZ ban
38%67%
The MongolZ · 4 mapsedge Alliance +29%Alliance · 2 maps
CacheAlliance ban
60%25%
The MongolZ · 1 mapedge The MongolZ +35%Alliance · 4 maps
MirageAlliance ban
50%50%
The MongolZ · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Alliance · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe MongolZ remove Nuke
2. BanAlliance remove Cache
3. PickThe MongolZ take Inferno
4. PickAlliance take Ancient
5. BanAlliance remove Mirage
6. BanThe MongolZ remove Dust2