CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · BO3
result vs predictionTDTropa do KinGui#144 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMEIA NOITE pick
50%38%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsedge Tropa do KinGui +12%MEIA NOITE · 17 maps
Dust2Tropa do KinGui pick
50%60%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +10%MEIA NOITE · 16 maps
MirageMEIA NOITE ban
60%38%
Tropa do KinGui · 1 mapedge Tropa do KinGui +22%MEIA NOITE · 9 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%67%
Tropa do KinGui · 1 mapedge MEIA NOITE +7%MEIA NOITE · 8 maps
NukeTropa do KinGui ban
50%46%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsnearly even +4%MEIA NOITE · 9 maps
CacheMEIA NOITE ban
50%33%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsedge Tropa do KinGui +17%MEIA NOITE · 5 maps
InfernoTropa do KinGui ban
50%44%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsedge Tropa do KinGui +6%MEIA NOITE · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTropa do KinGui remove Inferno
2. BanMEIA NOITE remove Cache
3. PickTropa do KinGui take Dust2
4. PickMEIA NOITE take Ancient
5. BanMEIA NOITE remove Mirage
6. BanTropa do KinGui remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (60% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
Tropa do KinGui 59%MEIA NOITE 41%
The model gave 59% on Tropa do KinGui — the map was taken by Tropa do KinGui.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Tropa do KinGui 57%MEIA NOITE 43%
The model gave 57% on Tropa do KinGui — the map was taken by Tropa do KinGui.
Model check result
Model favoriteTropa do KinGui · 60%
Series resultTropa do KinGui 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2