CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMEIA NOITE pick
50%38%
Underworld · 0 mapsedge Underworld +12%MEIA NOITE · 9 maps
AncientMEIA NOITE ban
40%27%
Underworld · 1 mapedge Underworld +13%MEIA NOITE · 7 maps
Dust2Underworld pick
60%56%
Underworld · 1 mapnearly even +4%MEIA NOITE · 5 maps
CacheMEIA NOITE ban
50%38%
Underworld · 0 mapsedge Underworld +12%MEIA NOITE · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
40%57%
Underworld · 1 mapedge MEIA NOITE +17%MEIA NOITE · 3 maps
DefaultUnderworld ban
50%71%
Underworld · 0 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +21%MEIA NOITE · 3 maps
NukeUnderworld ban
50%50%
Underworld · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MEIA NOITE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUnderworld remove Nuke
2. BanMEIA NOITE remove Cache
3. PickUnderworld take Dust2
4. PickMEIA NOITE take Mirage
5. BanMEIA NOITE remove Ancient
6. BanUnderworld remove Default
DeciderInferno (40% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Underworld 26%MEIA NOITE 74%
The model gave 74% on MEIA NOITE — the map was taken by MEIA NOITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteMEIA NOITE · 60%
Series resultMEIA NOITE 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1