CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ursa#88 in the world · win 2:1series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GenOne#95 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Ursa pick
52%68%
Ursa · 21 mapedge GenOne +16%GenOne · 33 maps
NukeGenOne pick
38%63%
Ursa · 12 mapsedge GenOne +25%GenOne · 23 maps
InfernoUrsa ban
33%62%
Ursa · 11 mapsedge GenOne +29%GenOne · 9 maps
AncientUrsa ban
50%48%
Ursa · 0 mapsnearly even +2%GenOne · 19 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
40%35%
Ursa · 6 mapsedge Ursa +5%GenOne · 13 maps
Anubispossible decider
57%57%
Ursa · 3 mapsnearly even +0%GenOne · 10 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%50%
Ursa · 10 mapsnearly even +0%GenOne · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUrsa remove Ancient
2. BanGenOne remove Mirage
3. PickUrsa take Dust2
4. PickGenOne take Nuke
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanUrsa remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (57% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
Ursa 37%GenOne 63%
The model gave 63% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
Ursa 24%GenOne 76%
The model gave 76% on GenOne — the map was taken by Ursa.
Overpassprediction correct13:11
Ursa 55%GenOne 45%
The model gave 55% on Ursa — the map was taken by Ursa.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 73%
Series resultUrsa 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3