CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ursa#88 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Lazer Cats ban
69%50%
Ursa · 9 mapsedge Ursa +19%Lazer Cats · 0 maps
NukeLazer Cats pick
33%50%
Ursa · 8 mapsedge Lazer Cats +17%Lazer Cats · 0 maps
InfernoUrsa ban
33%50%
Ursa · 5 mapsedge Lazer Cats +17%Lazer Cats · 0 maps
MirageUrsa pick
56%50%
Ursa · 5 mapsedge Ursa +6%Lazer Cats · 0 maps
OverpassUrsa ban
43%50%
Ursa · 3 mapsedge Lazer Cats +7%Lazer Cats · 0 maps
AnubisLazer Cats ban
60%50%
Ursa · 1 mapedge Ursa +10%Lazer Cats · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUrsa remove Overpass
2. BanLazer Cats remove Dust2
3. PickUrsa take Mirage
4. PickLazer Cats take Nuke
5. BanLazer Cats remove Anubis
6. BanUrsa remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
Ursa 31%Lazer Cats 69%
The model gave 69% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
Ursa 72%Lazer Cats 28%
The model gave 72% on Ursa — the map was taken by Ursa.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
Ursa 56%Lazer Cats 44%
The model gave 56% on Ursa — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Model check result
Model favoriteLazer Cats · 56%
Series resultLazer Cats 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3