CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vasco#232 in the world · win 2:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientPlayers pick
50%50%
Vasco · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Players · 2 maps
Dust2Vasco pick
50%50%
Vasco · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Players · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
60%60%
Vasco · 1 mapnearly even +0%Players · 1 map
MirageVasco ban
50%50%
Vasco · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Players · 0 maps
NukeVasco ban
50%33%
Vasco · 0 mapsedge Vasco +17%Players · 2 maps
AnubisPlayers ban
40%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge Players +10%Players · 0 maps
OverpassPlayers ban
40%50%
Vasco · 1 mapedge Players +10%Players · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVasco remove Nuke
2. BanPlayers remove Overpass
3. PickVasco take Dust2
4. PickPlayers take Ancient
5. BanPlayers remove Anubis
6. BanVasco remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
Vasco 53%Players 47%
The model gave 53% on Vasco — the map was taken by Players.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
Vasco 47%Players 53%
The model gave 53% on Players — the map was taken by Vasco.
Mirageprediction correct16:14
Vasco 50%Players 50%
The model gave 50% on Vasco — the map was taken by Vasco.
Model check result
Model favoriteVasco · 60%
Series resultVasco 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3