Tipsport Conquest of Prague 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#146 in the world · win 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Clutchain#199 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWalczaki pick
57%50%
Walczaki · 3 mapsedge Walczaki +7%Clutchain · 0 maps
AnubisClutchain ban
50%50%
Walczaki · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Clutchain · 0 maps
DefaultClutchain pick
50%50%
Walczaki · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Clutchain · 0 maps
AncientWalczaki ban
60%50%
Walczaki · 1 mapedge Walczaki +10%Clutchain · 0 maps
InfernoClutchain ban
60%50%
Walczaki · 1 mapedge Walczaki +10%Clutchain · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Ancient
2. BanClutchain remove Inferno
3. PickWalczaki take Nuke
4. PickClutchain take Default
5. BanClutchain remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:8
Walczaki 47%Clutchain 53%
The model gave 53% on Clutchain — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Walczaki 60%Clutchain 40%
The model gave 60% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 72%
Series resultWalczaki 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2