GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#149 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Xcity#224 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisWalczaki pick
56%50%
Walczaki · 14 mapsedge Walczaki +6%Xcity · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
53%50%
Walczaki · 11 mapsnearly even +3%Xcity · 0 maps
InfernoWalczaki ban
50%50%
Walczaki · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Xcity · 0 maps
Dust2Walczaki ban
31%50%
Walczaki · 9 mapsedge Xcity +19%Xcity · 0 maps
AncientXcity ban
55%50%
Walczaki · 7 mapsedge Walczaki +5%Xcity · 0 maps
CacheXcity pick
30%50%
Walczaki · 6 mapsedge Xcity +20%Xcity · 0 maps
MirageXcity ban
56%50%
Walczaki · 5 mapsedge Walczaki +6%Xcity · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
2. BanXcity remove Mirage
3. PickWalczaki take Anubis
4. PickXcity take Cache
5. BanXcity remove Ancient
6. BanWalczaki remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (53% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Walczaki 50%Xcity 50%
The model gave 50% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Xcity.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 74%
Series resultXcity 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1